Spain 59% to win
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Fri, Jun 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 18% | 24% | 61% |
| Polymarket | 18% | 25% | 61% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/uruguay-vs-spain-2026-06-26" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Uruguay face Spain at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Uruguay at 17% to win, a draw at 24%, and Spain at 59%. Spain are the market favorite at 59% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 17.3% | |
| DraftKings | 66.4% | 66.4% |
Sportsbook prices the favourite higher than prediction markets (49.1pp gap).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Fri, Jun 26, 10:00 PM UTC.
