United States 55% to win
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Fri, Jun 19, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 57% | 25% | 22% |
| Polymarket | 56% | 25% | 22% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/united-states-vs-australia-2026-06-19" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
United States face Australia at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price United States at 55% to win, a draw at 24%, and Australia at 21%. United States are the market favorite at 55% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 54.7% | |
| DraftKings | 48.8% | 48.8% |
Market thinks the favourite is stronger than the sportsbook suggests (+5.9pp).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
Bet at sportsbook
Shown for United States · homepage links only
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Fri, Jun 19, 10:00 PM UTC.
