Netherlands 59% to win
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Sat, Jun 20, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 60% | 23% | 18% |
| Polymarket | 60% | 24% | 18% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/netherlands-vs-sweden-2026-06-20" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Netherlands face Sweden at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Netherlands at 59% to win, a draw at 23%, and Sweden at 18%. Netherlands are the market favorite at 59% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 59.3% | |
| DraftKings | 46.8% | 46.8% |
Market thinks the favourite is stronger than the sportsbook suggests (+12.5pp).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Sat, Jun 20, 10:00 PM UTC.
