Netherlands 65% to win
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Thu, Jun 25, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 14% | 21% | 67% |
| Polymarket | 14% | 23% | 67% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/tunisia-vs-netherlands-2026-06-25" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Tunisia face Netherlands at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Tunisia at 14% to win, a draw at 21%, and Netherlands at 65%. Netherlands are the market favorite at 65% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 13.5% | |
| DraftKings | 18.2% | 18.2% |
Sportsbook prices the favourite higher than prediction markets (4.7pp gap).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Thu, Jun 25, 10:00 PM UTC.
