Belgium 76% to win
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Fri, Jun 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 9% | 16% | 78% |
| Polymarket | 9% | 16% | 77% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/new-zealand-vs-belgium-2026-06-26" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
New Zealand face Belgium at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price New Zealand at 9% to win, a draw at 16%, and Belgium at 76%. Belgium are the market favorite at 76% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 8.6% | |
| DraftKings | 20.5% | 20.5% |
Sportsbook prices the favourite higher than prediction markets (11.9pp gap).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Fri, Jun 26, 10:00 PM UTC.
