Netherlands 54% to win↑ Netherlands moving
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Sun, Jun 14, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 48% | 27% | 0% |
| Polymarket | 47% | 27% | 27% |
Platforms disagree on this outcome
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/netherlands-vs-japan-2026-06-14" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Netherlands face Japan at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Netherlands at 54% to win, a draw at 31%, and Japan at 15%. Netherlands are the market favorite at 54% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 54.1% | |
| DraftKings | 46.8% | 46.8% |
Market thinks the favourite is stronger than the sportsbook suggests (+7.3pp).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Sun, Jun 14, 10:00 PM UTC.
