Germany 55% to win
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Thu, Jun 25, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 22% | 25% | 56% |
| Polymarket | 20% | 25% | 57% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/ecuador-vs-germany-2026-06-25" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Ecuador face Germany at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Ecuador at 20% to win, a draw at 25%, and Germany at 55%. Germany are the market favorite at 55% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 20.4% | |
| DraftKings | 79.9% | 79.9% |
Sportsbook prices the favourite higher than prediction markets (59.5pp gap).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Thu, Jun 25, 10:00 PM UTC.
