Belgium 70% to win
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Sun, Jun 21, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 71% | 20% | 11% |
| Polymarket | 71% | 20% | 11% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/belgium-vs-ir-iran-2026-06-21" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
Belgium face IR Iran at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price Belgium at 70% to win, a draw at 20%, and IR Iran at 11%. Belgium are the market favorite at 70% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 69.8% | |
| DraftKings | 57.5% | 57.5% |
Market thinks the favourite is stronger than the sportsbook suggests (+12.3pp).
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Sun, Jun 21, 10:00 PM UTC.
