United States 50% to win
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Fri, Jun 12, 10:00 PM UTC
Kalshi and Polymarket users are different. Their prices often reflect different biases.
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 51% | 29% | 23% |
| Polymarket | 51% | 28% | 23% |
<iframe src="https://probly.so/embed/united-states-vs-paraguay-2026-06-12" width="100%" height="180" frameborder="0" style="border-radius:12px"></iframe>
United States face Paraguay at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Prediction markets on Kalshi and other exchanges currently price United States at 50% to win, a draw at 28%, and Paraguay at 22%. United States are the market favorite at 50% before kickoff. Probly aggregates live World Cup 2026 odds in plain English so fans can see what traders think without reading order books. Odds refresh about every 60 seconds as new money enters the market.
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (market) | — | 49.8% | |
| DraftKings | 48.8% | 48.8% |
Market agrees with sportsbook pricing.
Market discrepancy signals based on data only (not betting advice).
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Shown for United States · homepage links only
| Platform | Their line | Implied | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | — | — | |
| DraftKings | — | — | |
| FanDuel | — | — | |
| Novig | — | — |
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Points = 100 / market probability. Upsets pay bigger. Picks close at Fri, Jun 12, 10:00 PM UTC.
